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If I play football, for example, it looks very, very closely to reinforcement learning.
I kick a ball a lot of times and every time I adjust it a little bit and I see if it roughly
matches what I wanted and there's some self-reinforcement happening.
When I learn mathematics, it's a very different type of thing.
It's like reading about hard concepts and thinking about them very deeply inside my
head until things click and until I have them connected.
And both of those in some way are learning from experience.
They are just very different.
We probably are spending the most compute than ever on learning from experience, but
reinforcement learning is not the end of learning from experience.
And there will be better approaches that researchers will be coming up in the coming
years on how to use that data.
Jerry, Rohan, thank you so much for joining us today.
The two of you are the founders of Core Automation, one of the hottest neolabs in San Francisco
right now.
And before starting Core Automation, you led some of the most important research projects
of the AI era.
Jerry, you were VP of OpenAI, where you worked, amongst other things, on running the Strawberry
and Reasonings teams.
And Rohan, you were one of two of the four pre-training leads at Gemini.
And before that, led a lot of the fundamental AI research at Google Brain and were the fix-it
guy across Google and then at Anthropic.
And so between the two of you, you've seen more than your fair share of what the world looks
like in terms of doing frontier research.
And so I'm very, very excited to dig in.
Let's start with you, Jerry.
You tweeted a very spicy take recently.
The first step to replacing Transformers is appreciating deeply how far they were able
to carry us.
Is that a eulogy for the Transformer?
What does that mean?
Thank you very much for inviting us here, Sonia.
I feel like a lot of my interviews these days is explaining my tweets and what did I mean.
But appreciating Transformer means understanding what it does well.
So you're not solving the problems that it is solving well.
You have to focus on its weaknesses.
You have to understand good parts and bad parts.
And it's very easy in a lot of the work what people are doing in architectures is trying
to make Transformers cheaper and trying to make Transformer more efficient.
I very rarely see people thinking about how do we make Transformers more powerful, trying
to do more expressive.
But seeing someone weak parts and seeing someone strong parts are almost the same thing.
It's just understanding the shape of Transformer a little bit more.
What I think right now we are in this stage, we got really, really good at training really,
really big models.
We mastered two algorithms.
We mastered pre-training at a large scale and we mastered reinforcement learning at a
large scale.
And I'm asking myself a lot what is next in machine learning.
I think at this moment what the bottleneck is to better models and to smarter systems is
the architecture itself.
It is this moment to revisit the train we've been riding for the last six years of trying
to add more and more parameters to essentially two of the same operations, which is MOE and
attention.
And when I am thinking about it, like where we are today and what we are doing, I am thinking
a lot about what codecs and what cloud code are doing for us.
And I'm really, really appreciative of those systems and of the coding and of the workflow
automation and of the systems of the products that we have today that we essentially have
built over those six years of scaling.
And I think this is the first step of thinking.
If we want to work on replacement, we need to see where we are, what problems we have solved
to start seeing what the next stage is, what problems we haven't solved yet.
What kind of are we missing?
And this is kind of whenever I use codecs and I am successful at a task, I also start
thinking, why didn't I try to push that thing harder?
Whenever I come to work, there are a lot of things I do with codecs, but I still come to
work.
I still ask it to do certain things for me.
And I'm always asking myself, why am I even needed there?
Why is core automation is name and its concept is we want to be automating tasks.
And why are those things not yet automated?
Why is not codecs doing everything for me?
And this is the question of like the research where we want to go.
And with that research, I'm trying to think what kind of models, what kind of systems do
we need?
What kind of qualities do we need?
That we don't have today.
And that's what I'm thinking about these days.
And you have this starting premise of the architecture is the issue, which I think is a contrarian
point of view.
So what led you to that point of view?
What did you see that made you think the architecture was the issue?
It's fundamentally what is the issue.
It's like comes back from the previous implication.
What I think is the issue is that the models are being trained in the lab and are being deployed
in the real world.
That is the fundamental tension that is there.
And like a bit of my disappointment comes from my personal story.
Whenever we were starting the research and progress on scaling up reinforcement learning
at OpenAI, I basically believe that scaling up reinforcement learning is a necessary stepping
stone on a path to AGI since I started working at OpenAI.
And I was always reinforcement learning maximalist.
I was always believed this is what we need to focus on.
This is what we need to do.
I've seen LLMs being scaled up to higher and higher levels through GPT-3 to GPT-4.
And we were still doing very little RL.
And I had this internal belief that the moment we start scaling up RL, we'll solve everything.
We'll be able to solve all the problems.
And we eventually started scaling up RL.
I was just in there.
I was in the center of it.
I was thinking here we are.
If you ask Jerry in 2024, when do we get AGI?
I would say 2025 will be that year.
This is where we solve everything.
And I saw us training model after model.
This model was getting better and better.
All the benchmark scores were going up.
And did we also solve all the real world tasks at that moment?
Unfortunately, unfortunately not.
We still have work.
And I realized there was this bit of distinction as all the benchmarks that we are evaluating
our models, they were essentially the same thing as we were training the models on.
Like all the evals and training tasks are the same sides of the coin.
But the real world distribution and real world task is much messier, much murkier, much more,
much more different.
Our training data didn't really replicate the real world use cases.
And despite us basically maximizing all the tasks, if you see, ask anyone training models,
Hey, what is one of your main issues?
I don't have hard enough tasks.
I don't, I don't have what to train our model on.
Yet we are still not covering the entirety of the, of the real world distribution.
From that, my conclusion is we need to have models that learn at test time.
We need to have models that learn with users on their data, on the real world task, on the
real world distribution.
And there, when you are asked why, why, why, why, why don't we have that today?
Why, why, why, why are transformers not, not learning any anywhere?
And there are essentially two types of learning that we could be doing at test time.
We could be doing in context, learning essentially of transformers, which is, it doesn't have fundamental
problems of catastrophic forgetting.
It doesn't have that issue.
It is pretty data efficient.
So that, that is great, but it's not very scalable.
We only can have so much of it.
It is limited and has some more, even more of mechanical limitations of what actually are
you doing when you, when you build context, but maybe, maybe we can, we can come back
to it later.
But we have, we have in context learning, which is very limited and very, very small amount
of data.
Whenever I'm using codecs, roughly after around 20 minutes of usage, I need to, I need to compact
it and move and move it afterwards, which is not that much, not that much data.
We have all, all we can learn is for, for 20 minutes.
It's not that much.
And the second thing is fine tuning.
We could try to continuously fine tune our models, but then those have the issues of catastrophic
forgetting.
We have issues of very low data efficiency and neither of those are very solvable.
Neither of those are very easy to, to find ways people have been trying.
If there was, were easy to solve some already solve it.
So my personal belief is we need to find an algorithm that we can, we can meta learn, we
can express on the architectural layer that can represent how does, how does learning look
like?
How does learning look like that can work on much, much longer horizons?
Do you expect the architecture will look transformer-like?
Because my, my, my understanding from the, from the chief seats is that, you know, OpenAI
had been trying to scale up reinforcement learning for a long time and it wasn't until the transformer
came about that it seemed like there was an even kind of scalable prior on the world upon
which to even scale RL.
And so how do you even go about trying to think about scaling up this, this new regime?
Yeah.
Yeah.
It's a, it's a great question.
I think those two things happened at the same time.
But if anything that, that happened there was, was mostly about, about economics because
technically you can scale up LSTMs.
Just no one, no one really, really dared to go in that direction.
And they did scale much, much more poorly.
They are, they're, they're, they're scaling in a scaling last paper.
There is a, presented a comparison of LSTMs and transformers and fundamentally the scaling
love of transformers was better.
There is a world where we never invented transformers and we would be scaling LSTMs and we would
be having some models, but because they would be much more expensive to train and much less
impressive as a product, we would have, would have just a worse experience.
And maybe no one would be able to convince people to spend as many dollars training that
those gigantic LSTMs because we wouldn't get a market return.
The, the, the majestic thing about transformer, which goes back to like, why, why, why, why
do we have to appreciate transformers so deeply is that transformers are economically valuable.
The training them, the cost of training them is lower than the revenue that they, that they
generate, which is just magic of machine learning.
It's not, not guaranteed by itself, but for, for LSTMs, it probably wouldn't be that way,
which, which, which made it happen.
But you can, in many ways you can scale most of the architectures.
Uh, I think, I think a lot of reasons why people didn't scale things before was because
researchers before opening, I had a lot of reluctance to scaling.
It was often seen as unscientific and, uh, research in algorithm was, was providing, how
do we become more and more efficient?
How do we, for the same compute budget, get better, better results?
And it was, it was a bit of a contrarian bet by open AI at that moment to try to say, Hey,
we don't care about better and better algorithms.
We care about more and more scalable algorithms.
And how do we, how do we pour more and more compute and get better, get better results, which
open AI was criticized repeatedly by many people in the community for, for a long time.
But thanks to that, we have, we have the models that we, that we have today.
I think there are tons of architectures that can be scaled up and I am part of the core
automation's mission.
And our, our belief is that a lot of architectural research happened at too small scale for too
long time.
A lot of people are trying to say, Hey, let's, let's try to first try our architecture on a,
on a, on a, on a small dataset on a small, in a small compute regime.
And then, and then, and then see where, where, where, where, where it scales only after, after
you prove itself.
But for example, when you do work on reinforcement learning, you know that to get to any interesting
results, you only, you need certain level of compute to even see the capabilities in the
model.
Reinforcement learning needs a baseline of, of, of ability to only, to only start working.
So, so where I am coming from, probably there are many architectures that need a baseline
of compute to even start doing anything, anything interesting, anything useful.
Can I ask you then maybe a touchy question?
Please do.
If you need a baseline of compute, that sounds like a job that would be well-served inside
of a big research lab.
Why start a company to go do this?
It's a, it's a great question.
And it's, I think in many ways, it's likely a timing thing, timing issue.
Market is right now in a, in a very specific place where the biggest and the most successful
labs by coincidence or by fate are probably in the most competitive market fight ever right
now, which makes them not very keen on trying different paths, trying alternatives.
If transformer is profitable and if you can spend more efforts and more resources scaling transformer
to win in the next quarter, it's very hard to put at least a lot of attention and a lot
of energy to work on something that will, that will maybe better on maybe, or maybe we'll,
we'll redefine the field in a year or two.
So, so I think the biggest, biggest labs and I talked to basically all of them don't, don't
have that much interest in trying the alternatives to, to transformer and the labs that are not
the biggest are doing whatever they can to do what the most successful labs are doing.
And everyone is trying to train the same, the same coding agent.
If you look at the last week's releases, everyone, everyone is trying to release a coding agent
right now.
And, and I think we need different paths and different, and different approaches here.
So, so that's what the niche in the ecosystem we are trying to, trying to fill in.
Hmm.
And Rohan, you were at, you were at Brain when the transformer was invented.
Do you, do you agree with Jerry's eulogy for the transformer?
Yes.
In some sense, like, once the first when the transformers, Ashish, Noam and others came up
with it, I had like work, I worked on my work on online distillation around the same
time we presented it at the same internal research conference.
It wasn't a big deal internally.
There was only a few people who actually got it.
Hmm.
A lot of people were like, oh, it's, it's like, yeah, it's another work.
And people were finding ways to, and it was also very focused on, at least the original
work was very focused on a real problem, which is translation.
So they saw like the Beatles DM on translation and it took opening up.
I mean, internally at Google, there was definitely like Noam and a few others were definitely
interested in scaling language models.
I think it is until GPT-2 and GPT-3 that we saw the benefit of transformers working quite
At least the way I think about architecture is how do we spend computation and transformer
is one way, very efficient way to spend computation.
But now that I look at the industry, it's, it's a lot of our computation is inference time and
spending it on tokens.
Let me ask this question.
Like if I want to optimize for a better architecture, I want to look at both pre-training and RL together.
And I would like to find architectures that spend computation much better than current chain
of thought token generation.
In at a, like to give a much better overview, it's, I think of like pre-training has built
the transformer with certain context length and RL comes in and it's like, well, that's
not sufficient.
I need more computation.
Let me do it via adding one token at a time.
This is quite inefficient from like inference perspective.
You're doing one token at a time.
So most of the solutions have been finding to do better ways of speculative decoding.
So it's like a band-aid to a problem that we've picked something that's can only generate
one token at a time.
So autoregressive decoding.
Uh, there is problems with the transformer in terms of how do we spend the computation,
uh, for the longest time.
I think, uh, most of the world was training very large, dense models and it took, uh, like
the industry, like roughly two to three years to get, to refine the architecture to what we
now take for granted was not obvious to a lot of people, sparsity and mixtures of experts.
And getting good training efficiencies with them.
Right.
So then you can ask like, what's wrong with the transformer?
Well, it's, if the computational depth is poor, you, how do we increase computational
depth?
And just posing that question opens up like 20 new directions on how we can modify the
mechanism to incorporate it.
So, um, I see like to do work like this, it takes time.
And usually like fundamental research in the past have taken like five, six years to land
into industry.
And it's largely from organizational knowing that it is important.
This is the bet.
Like, just like, uh, Jerry had the inner belief that RL is needed.
Absolutely.
Do not have that belief at Google.
I was a pre-training maximalist.
Pre-train a biggest model.
You guys are a good fit.
Right.
Like, right.
And then, so that inner belief.
And second is you need your architecture to run efficiently on hardware.
A theoretically optimal architecture is not useful to anyone.
It is something when it comes into practice.
So you need, uh, the research inception to getting it productionized and getting kernels
and everything written.
The end-to-end loop.
And there's only a few places right now which have integrated teams doing that.
And I think we have built a team in a way that puts every, like the experts together,
not in different silos that like we are accelerating on having everybody look at the problem holistically
from end-to-end.
So that's like where I'm quite bullish.
That's why I'm here.
Um, the current mechanisms are quite poor.
And it will, if, if you leave it to the world, I am afraid that it will take us like a much
longer time horizon before we replace the transformer.
And I think a lot of folks are already complaining a lot on token costs.
And, uh, that seems like as someone.
We're not complaining.
Uh, I mean, in terms of like, yeah, exactly.
I come from the Google mindset where we had to like serve billions of people.
So like finding more efficient architectures that fit, have a, like a deadline on latency
and the number of tokens that you can serve.
So like, when I look at that, like the amount of like the world that can use like frontier
tech is very little and we, someone or some group has to, uh, like accelerate and make
this better.
And we are taking that shot at doing that.
The current technology just scaled up is still only relevant to, uh, like a subset of humans.
Yeah.
And this is the bet we're making.
So one of the things I heard you say was the problem with transformers is the computational
depth is poor.
Yeah.
If that's the crux of the issue, tell us what does that mean?
Why is that the case?
How do you fix it?
I can, uh, give you like, uh, one insight, like most transformers that we train are quite
shallow.
That's at most like a hundred layers deep.
Uh, depth is like, it's called deep learning because you wanted deeper representations.
There has been experiments on going into depth, but no one has actually been able to
actually shown, uh, us learning extremely deep representations.
Chain of thought reasoning and RL to do chain of thought on by model itself is one way to
increase computational depth because every token you add, you add like one more pathway.
And there has been, uh, so then you can get out of like this bottleneck that the pre-trained
architecture has set you up on.
You can only do a layer, a number of layers times, uh, sequence length.
Now you can increase the sequence length and you get much stronger results.
You can do inference time scaling.
Now, uh, the issue with inference time scaling is that models now have to produce more tokens
to get better results.
And that's very one token at a time.
And from this, you can see like you can directly address many of these things.
And this is like a subset of work that we are looking at, right?
Making this much more efficient.
What's your forecast for the transformer based architecture?
If it's not the end state, how far can it get us?
When do we start to see it topping out?
Uh, I think it all, it all comes back to what we are, what we are training transformers for
and what we can, what we can do with them.
We're doing pre-training, which is very good at distilling all the knowledge from the internet
into transformers.
And then we can ARL them through, which is, we basically can bake all the workflows that
we want into a transformer.
So what, what, what, what transformer is like capped out is we have all the knowledge of, of,
of humanity in the model to get the relationships and how do they, how do they work together?
How, how they can be combined.
And basically any task that we have training data for, we can, we can put into the model.
And we, this could be gigantic model, train with a lot of compute on all the, on all the,
all the data in the world.
And then if we ever stop training that model, what would, what would happen?
Like the, the, the question worth asking often, I'm thinking about transformer, what would
happen if OpenAI and Anthropic stopped training new models?
And we got, we got a transformer we have today and say, this is, this is it.
This is, this is, this is the best, the best model we have.
Uh, months pass, uh, year, year, year, year, year, year pass.
And the model is getting less and less useful.
Maybe the lab really like recorded all of every human on earth, what they were doing
and what their, what their tasks were and their environments and put them, put them in the
model, put them in a, in a learning environment.
But then, then, then, then what happens if the, if anything of that changes, if there are
new events in the world, if those new events have new relationships between them, if there
are, there are new types of tasks, if there are new code bases, new tools to use.
Transformers are getting a lot of their usefulness and value through the things that are, that
are valuable have to be present in, in, in, in, in, in training.
And when, when, when, when, when they are not, they, they, they, they suffer.
There's some ability to adapt, but it's not very, not very big and not very, not very flexible.
So in my mind, this is, this is kind of the level where the, where the transformers, uh, top,
which in many ways, what I think is a, is a tool to use for us.
If we, if we, if we kind of know if there's a human who knows the limitations of a transformer,
they can, they can schedule that model.
They can, they can write a prompt of what is, what is, is the task that you want.
And by doing the training we are doing, you can, you can like get very successful and that,
and any task, the model fails, you can add it to your training data and the model and the
model can, can succeed.
But that, that loop is, has to go through the lab training, training the model for you.
And if the model that, that fundamentally needs to be trained in the lab, like how much do
you think of it that this is, this is the goal or, or, or you would want to be able to update
the model somehow not having to, to go back there.
Have you read the, uh, Rich Sutton and David Silver have this paper, the, the age of experience.
Have you read it?
I'm curious how much you agree or if you have any different opinions, where your opinions
diverge.
Reinforcement learning is not a particularly new approach, particularly, particularly new
thing to do.
So, uh, in some way, in some way, age of experience, I think, I think always has been there and
people have been criticizing a bit pre-training because pre-training very clearly is, because
this is the other way of, of looking at the models, which is like, we have static data,
that data is mostly generated by others.
Although I have this personal view that pre-training today is largely distilling other models, all
their models into the new model, because most of the tokens in the internet are, are coming
from, from, from AI, but there, there's clearly pre-training, which is, which is behavioral cloning,
which is mimicry, which is, which is compression of, of, of, of, of internet data.
But reinforcement learning is not something that, that people haven't been thinking and
people haven't been, haven't been doing.
Reinforcement learning was used to solve by Gammon back in the day that it used to solve
Go, Starcraft, Dota, and to solving programming right now.
And every, every time it comes down to model writing its own experience and learning, learning
from that experience.
But this is very clear.
And what I think is interesting and what I think is still, is still perplexing to people
that reinforcement learning is not really the only way to learn from experience.
And there, there will be more, and there will be, there will be a little bit more of, I think,
you can call it algorithmic, but essentially innovation of how we learn from experience.
Just because, just because reinforcement learning is only one way to do it.
It's a mathematical formulation.
And especially right now, how we are using it, it really likes those parallel rollouts for
variance reduction and for, for comparing how the model does in parallel versions of the
world, which is not, not how we do, not how we learn from experience.
We learn from our experience much more efficiently and much more.
We use, we use those in many, in many, many ways.
At some moment, I've been trying to explain to people that what, what brain does, how,
how we learn.
So there's one learning algorithm in a brain.
I think, I think there are, there are multiple actually, and they, and they, they work together.
But if I play football, for example, it looks very, very closely to reinforcement learning.
I kick a ball a lot of times.
And every time I adjust it a little bit and I see if it roughly matches what I, what I wanted
and I, there, there are some self-reinforcement happening.
When I, when I, when I learn mathematics, it's very different type of thinking.
It's, it's like reading about hard concepts and thinking about them very deeply inside
my head until, until things click and until, until I have them connected.
And both of those in some way are learning from experience.
They are just very different.
So, so summarizing my thinking of the learning from experiences that we've been doing it for
a while.
Well, we probably are spending the most compute than ever on learning from experience, but
reinforcement learning is, is not the end of learning from experience.
And there will be, there will, there will be better approaches that will, researchers
will be coming up in the coming years on how to, how to use that data in every nature,
nature settings.
Interesting.
Rohan, I'm curious, since a lot of your work has been around optimization and efficiency,
how do we get to a orders of magnitude more efficient, I guess, more compute efficient
and more data efficient learning algorithm?
I'd start with measurement.
I think pre-training as we define it right now is about compression.
We look at the perplexity and then measure how do we decrease the perplexity.
And then we find that scaling and increasing parameter count and putting more compute is the
way.
And every time we increase compute in log scale, we get this epsilon more improvement
in these metrics.
This is, I think, this is fine for building the prior, but I think this is the wrong way
to look at the problem.
We should be looking at the end to end.
What are we training these models for?
Look at the outcome.
Like, for example, I trained this model and give it to Jerry.
Jerry will do RL and destroy all the perplexity metrics that I have created.
Right.
Like, so then it's sort of like it was the best way we had so far to attempt to solve
the problem.
And I think the labs and everyone else have done a great job in producing intelligence
that's super valuable and makes my work so much fun.
But it was the bootstrap process to get there.
We have to combine pre-training and RL together.
And that's like where one order of magnitude improvement would come from.
And that's like a training procedure.
You can say it's a learning algorithm.
In terms of optimization, my story is I started optimization at Google for logistic regression
back in 2016, got nerd sniped by it, worked on some solvers for what we used to call Sibyl,
which was the large-scale linear solver that was used at Google before neural network took
off and then replaced this.
Then I asked myself, like, what do I want to work on with neural network?
And it was quite clear, like, I want to understand the training algorithm and make it better.
And then someone, Vinit Gupta, just showed up one day at my desk.
It's like, I heard you're really good at writing optimization methods.
We have this idea that, you know, like we worked hard on a whiteboard and what turned out to be the
shampoo algorithm.
Can you help us implement scale, make sure it works at large scale for neural network training?
So when I was working on this, I thanked my manager, Yonghui Wu, who supported it throughout
that until the end of my tenure in 2024.
But largely, the community and most of the other people were not as excited by this idea.
And for me, this was the most exciting thing because I was like, I'm putting in computation
and making training better.
This is the thing I have to figure out.
I will spend as much time I would take to do it.
And then people were making this assumption, oh, why, like, what's the upper bond?
You could still use Adam.
That's fine.
Like, why are we, you could spend all the time on everything else, not optimization.
But in some sense, optimization is like, like, you have a model, you're optimizing it, you
want to optimize it better.
Now, connected to some of the stuff that we talked about architecture, what has happened
is that a lot of the work that we've done in architecture is to make these networks train.
And in some sense, it's like two sides of the coin and optimization and architecture go
together.
You could have a stronger optimizer, train a much more harder to optimize model and get
better performance.
Or you can use a weaker optimizer on easier to optimize models and get decent performance.
So there are these trade-offs that appear all over.
And for me, I spend a lot of time working on it.
I think we used it for Gemini 1.5 Flash.
And then, like, the community started getting, like, more interested in it.
There was the soap paper published.
We have, like, an entire literature of, like, shampoo soap, all, like, bath time, the things
that you would use.
And then it was quite clear, like, so that was, like, maybe a 2x improvement over what
was happening.
But even then, if you look at shampoo, it's quite weak in what it's doing.
It's not using all the information that's available to you when you train.
And as you use more and more information as part of training, you can get better improvement.
And in some sense, like, your optimization algorithm defines what architectures you will
discover.
Like, I have colleagues.
It's not very popular in the literature.
It's only, like, maybe four people in the world care about it.
Kind of ideas that are extremely interesting.
Like, residual connections have been extremely useful for training neural networks.
There are folks who have now, like, gotten rid of them and learned deeper representations.
But they needed a better optimization method.
So, like, for me, optimization methods and the question you asked is just, like, how do
we get there?
It's combined with architecture and thinking about the problem end-to-end.
It was where a lot of the computational efficiency is in.
And I also see Aral as spending a lot of compute, not as efficiently.
And so, like, if you could spend it, because you don't get much feedback and you're spending
a lot more compute because you have to decort all this long chain of thought to get this
one bit of information into the network.
Seems quite an efficient and easy target to get orders of magnitude on Tompa.
I can go on talking about optimization all day.
I love it.
Do you think we'll ever approach or surpass biological learning efficiency?
I do not think so because I think we would need to change.
Maybe, like, that was a strong statement.
At least with the hardware we have, it seems pretty unlikely.
It, our biological, like, we have something, as Jeff Hinden says, model computation.
So, we built our own circuit as we grow up and we built our own learning algorithm with the
hardware and then we die and then we're gone.
Neural networks are quite different.
Our hardware stays, the neural network stays.
But it's learning very inefficiently and you need a lot more of them and a lot of parallelism
to get small amounts of information through.
So, until I think we design hardware to be much more, like, how humans operate, maybe more
analog, figure out how to deal with analog circuits and figure out how to do with error
correction, figure out how to get information through, it'll be much harder.
We, I think we are safe.
Safe.
That's an interesting way to put it.
The idea that pre-training and RL should be optimized end-to-end seems like such a, you
know, clear, maybe obvious statement.
Do you think, do you think the labs realize this and is it just hard for them to, you know,
get rid of org charts and process to be able to make that come together?
Or what stops the labs from being able to unify the two?
I don't think it's as obvious.
Okay.
Because it's a completely, again, different optimization problem.
You have a prior, you're doing roll-outs, you have higher variance, and then pre-training
is much larger batch and like more parallelism or compute for the unit of time that you can
spend.
So, it is not an obvious thing for folks to combine these two training procedures until
you think a bit more like, why is it that the naive combination doesn't work?
So, that's one.
The second one is, if I poll like some of the best researchers in these labs, they would
say, oh, this makes sense.
We should probably explore it.
But it would be probably not in the top bucket because they have to train a model for the
next cycle before.
It's like, as Jerry said, like there are companies now competing for release cycles because tokens
are not sticky.
So, it's much harder to do long, slight, like even long-term research of six months in many
of these labs in the environment they added.
So, it seems like one of the core premises for core automation is, you know, you're starting
at the lab at a time when, I know Sam's been talking about the AI scientists.
I think Dario's been talking about the AI scientists.
It seems like your job as researchers has actually fundamentally changed.
And you get to start the company native to that era.
And as a result, you're maybe going to be able to run a lot more experiments than otherwise
might be possible.
How automatable do you think the research job is?
And how are you guys approaching building your lab to be as, I believe your mission, one
of your missions is to be the most autonomous lab there is?
Most automated lab.
Automated.
Yeah, lab in the world.
And to start with, I think the automation, the version of automation by core automation
is about giving each human maximum level of agency in some way.
It is, we are not trying to really get humans out of the loop, which is like one version to
automate, but it is about give humans ability to do the most with their amount of time.
Whenever you are walking, you can get some distance.
Whenever you get a bike, you can go walk a larger distance.
Whenever you are a car, you can go much, much, much, much larger.
Whenever humans started farming, they had to farm by hand and work on a small plot of
land.
When you have a machine, you work on a much, much larger plot of land.
Personally, I am both really great fan of the current coding agents and very happy.
In some way, it is what I've been working for many years, both doing coding research and
working on various versions of AI scientists inside the side of OpenAI.
And in the end, I realized starting a company to realize that vision is one of the best ways to realize it.
Because the way you can do research today is very, very different.
Because a single researcher can do much more.
In the end, the speed of iteration, the speed of research, the speed of how quickly you can move through ideas and how quickly you can get data on your ideas is something very, very different.
And you can try to move the old structures around it and the teams, workflows, how data is gathered.
Or you can try to build, like you said, you can try to build natively for it, for processes that maximally empower each researcher and allow them to just iterate on their idea much, much quicker.
We are here and we are trying to rebuild the full deep learning stack and try to think how we can do almost each operation differently.
What are various options?
And if we can execute at least even one of those experiments a day, that's already a pretty good iteration speed versus anything that was done before.
And there isn't really like any fundamental like laws of physics reason why not.
And maybe one day we get to 10 of those a day, maybe one day we get to 100 of those a day.
And fundamentally for that like search process, optimization process, we should be able to just find things that work in a better deep learning setting.
And like what we are trying to do is like we've been like almost all of us, we are a team that is very agent-filled and automation-filled.
We are trying to do an experiment, like how far we can push those things and how much an organization that tries to do as much as we can with a small team, how far we can get with that.
When will we know that we've reached AGI?
At some moment I used to say it's very much in everyone's heart, whatever they consider AGI.
OpenAI is the system that can outperform all humans in economically valuable work, but it goes to my previous statement, what if OpenAI stops training models?
Would that still keep working?
Would that still keep the automation level the same or would that drive?
And for me AGI is a model that can improve itself without human in the loop in any way.
That's I think the moment where we can meaningfully talk about AGI because that is in some way, it is a sub-definition of the previous one because improving AI models is actually a job that humans can do.
It is economically valuable work and it definitely is the case.
But removing humans from loops with models has been actually notoriously, notoriously difficult so far.
We haven't come anywhere close to it.
It's very, very hard for me to find any task where LLMs were able to get humans out in the loop.
We are, the human LLM hybrid is really, really successful right now.
But LLMs without humans, not so much, not at all.
And what I have seen there in 2024 and in early 2025 is that the current path doesn't get us there.
And I think we need some pretty serious research on this company or some other to try to unlock how do we make our models learn and adapt at a test time on a deeper level than we've been so far.
I feel like we've alluded to this throughout the conversation, but it's kind of been one of these, you know, five blinded, blindfolded people trying to find the elephant things.
What is the grand master plan for Core Auto that you're willing to share?
I can share our six-month roadmap.
In some sense, like building architectures, as I said, like it's not just how good the architectures, does it run well?
And can we get users, including ourselves, as part of the lab to use it, right?
So then that's directly like we can do many things now, but the thing that is going to be difficult and think that we want to automate away is kernel generation.
So we have a set of hardware, GPUs, blackwells that we have to train and run inference on.
We will build the best model that we can to basically reduce the time from having a very cool idea that can make these bottlenecks go away in the architecture.
To having them run at the highest TFLOPs on GPUs.
And in some sense, like current coding agents plus humans can go a long way.
But like an example of this is our QR kernel competition that we hosted with GPU mode.
It's for running this very old linear algebra operation QR.
It's used for optimization, like shampoo line of work uses it, many other places uses it.
And you want to run this efficiently on B200 node.
If you use co-solver for the shapes that we care about, you get some efficiency.
And then a human plus some search loop can get you like something like 7x.
But it requires the high taste human, like there's maybe three people in the world,
to spend about $100,000 on these coding agents over a span of four weeks to get to a solution that's 60x faster.
So these models today are nowhere close to getting that 60x faster kernel.
And there is a real bottleneck.
Now, that was a single problem.
It has like perhaps three different operators work on this panel, do this matrix multiply,
fold it back in and do this repeatedly.
That's what the secure factorization of a matrix would look like.
And if you give this problem to entropic models, OpenAI models, Gemini, it just wouldn't solve it.
It just is not, our models are not even close to solving this problem.
So for us, it's like something that we've talked about, something that we are getting close to,
is sort of like getting to that point because that's our inner loop to having more efficient architectures.
Why kernels?
Is it just because like maximize intelligence per flop of compute, you need a general kernels?
In some sense, I've had like three projects.
Two of them have kind of landed in the industry.
So first is secondary methods.
Kernels was a bottleneck because you have to run it well.
If you were at a place like Google, you cannot spend 10x amount of compute and get a 2x win.
So I could only spend maybe a budget of 20% and get the 2x win.
Everyone's happy.
But I don't like trade.
So like I think that's the market, right?
You spend less than you get.
So kernels ended up being a bottleneck there because most of the operations were novel that we haven't gotten a lot of people to look at it.
There's only like two humans at Google who could write it, Rasmus and Peter Hawkins,
because it was deep XLA, LLO code that you have to write to make this work.
And then that took them two years to do.
The other idea I had with one of my coworkers at that time was like replacing some of the parameters in a transformer with extra memory.
And we called it ngrammer, ngram memory.
We worked on it in 2020.
We had versions of it internally deployed, not the big version, the smaller version.
But there I needed like something that can accelerate sparse gathers and scatters as part of training.
It required hardware change and hardware making use of the hardware.
It never arrived.
I had conferences set up with the TPU team, us and a bunch of others.
We were talking about it during COVID, like, oh, we're going to have it happen.
And it never arrived.
I also was using TPUs at Anthropic.
While I was leaving, just barely started the surface of being able to do it.
But at the same time, six months before that, DeepSeek wrote their ngram, which is an improved version of adding more memory,
showed scaling loss that, yeah, you don't need MOEs.
You could actually replace it with these ngram embeddings.
For me, that was like, oh.
Yeah.
It was like a five-year thing.
And I was very happy for them.
So much of the state space to explore isn't even possible if you're not writing kernels.
Kernels.
And you need to be assisted in writing kernels or solve that kernel to have the highest performance.
And the roof line is pretty high.
So it's like the QR.
If I use Qsolver's QR, I get some performance.
If I use the competition minors QR, you get 60x faster.
And that is a completely different playing field.
Now it opens up an entire new set of algorithms you can apply in terms of training transformers, training optimizers.
QR is so fundamental in analyzing the two for eigen decomposition and many other things.
So it is a thing that I think also, if you think about it, only few people have the skill set to.
And they're very much not at the same place.
It's like one person here, one person there.
And it would be ideal if models had those abilities.
Maybe I'll summarize a little bit and talk from the high level of what we want.
Core automation is a lab created to build models that continuously learn from deployment.
We believe, as I mentioned, that transformers are incapable of continual learning.
There's no way how to put continual learning on transformers.
So we know we have to find a different architecture.
Some of, in a way, our quest is to find that new architecture, find that transformer replacement.
And we want to build the most automated lab to do it.
We want to be able to build experiments at scale the quickest we can, iterate on them, try a lot of new architectural ideas,
have strong priors of what we want to do,
to search the space of architectures efficiently, to go to that place fastest than anyone else.
That's what we want to do and all the work we are doing on kernels, on large-scale training,
on trying new architectural ideas, is exploring that space.
So you're going to experiment your way into finding a superior architecture.
How will you know when you've found it?
What are you looking for to say, aha, this is the one?
That's a great question.
There are always two angles.
In my mind, in my experience, every successful research had a plot that shows something that other plots don't show.
There's one line that is a little bit bending in a different way.
And you're saying, this is what you want.
But at least my experience with research always has been that plot is already quite late in a journey
where most of the time you already know what you want and already know what you are up to.
I am a bit joking, but it's actually true that all the best plots in my life,
I have them in a dream before actually they were real.
I kind of knew what I was looking for.
Just the question is when it actually clicks, if you know what I mean.
Because most of the time you kind of know what you are looking for, but you are not finding it.
You try one thing, it doesn't work.
Try second thing, it doesn't work.
But eventually all the right pieces fall into it and most of the deep learning systems are very intricate.
So usually you have to get five things right in a row for the main to start working.
And then eventually you get the plot that looks like you want and then you know.
So I think what we are looking for is systems that learn and test time.
And if we see meaningful long-term adaptability of our systems, and we're joking, but it's real.
We want to be evaluating our systems of our everyday work.
They get better at doing the work of core automation scientists each day.
Yeah, we like go on a vacation as a team and see if the lab produces something better for the week.
Then what do you do when you get back?
We'll see.
Extend the vacation two times instead of four times until we are on permanent vacation.
That is a beautiful note to end on.
Rohan, Jerry, thank you so much for joining us.
You've both worked on really, really transformative work for where we are today.
And I'm so excited to see you starting a lab on this new journey.
And very excited to see what you're able to come up with.
Thanks for joining us.
It's been great to be here and chat with you.
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